Atlanta at Cincinnati

The Atlanta Braves had a worse spring record than any team in MLB this season, are off a pair of 94+ loss seasons, have been beset by injuries. After all that they are 22-30, and on a better pace than previous years. The Reds have been a bit better than advertised at 25-28 on the season. While the Reds offense has been scoring a lot of runs, the pitching has been a disaster allowing 5.15 runs a contest, and it is hard to grab a favorite that can't get outs. RA Dickey is a 42-year-old knuckleballer that is pitching well past his prime, and has seen opponents score 5+ runs against the Reds in 60% of his starts on the season. I can't trust Reds pitching in a fairly hefty favorite role. Play on Atlanta.