Atlanta at Cincinnati

The CincinnatiReds have fallen eight games off the pace for the second Wild Card spot in the NL, and they need a long winning streak to get back in the hunt, as the next week of the season will determine their fate. Cincinnati has dropped seven straight games, and certainly look like a risky proposition here. Ervin Santana has given the Braves some healthy starts, but he did allow 4 runs in 6.2 innings vs. the Reds earlier this season. Mike Leake enters this game with a much worse record, but the two have been in a dead heat when it comes to ERA on the season, so certainly no edge for Atlanta. The Braves have gone 1-5 in their last six as a road favorite from -110 to -150, and are just 1-5 behind Santana in his last six starts vs. a losing team. Make the play on Cincinnati in this one.