Atlanta at Chicago

Atlanta is on a 3-5 run despite playing all but one of those at home. The team has lost three of the last four starts made by 40-year-old Charlie Morton. He faced the Cubs in his last start and lost 7-1 as -180 chalk. While the Braves played yesterday at home, the Cubs are working on a day of rest. Chicago's offense is 11th in on-base percentage and 12th in runs scored. The Cubs are 27-15 at Wrigley Field when facing winning teams. Batters are hitting just .201 off starter Javier Assad (1.49 ERA), who has a 0.81 ERA at home. The team is 11-3 when Assad starts as an underdog. Play Chicago.