Atlanta at Boston

The Boston Red Sox have not gotten the same level of quality pitching as they did last year when they went on to win it all. They already have allowed 6 runs or more in 21 games on the season. The good news for Boston is that the Atlanta Braves have only scored 6 runs or more four times in their last 32 games. Boston will go with John Lackey tonight, and he has been their most consistent starter at 5-3 with a 3.58 ERA on the season. Boston has absolutely dominated Atlanta over the last 10 seasons where they have won the last seven series between these teams, and Atlanta is just 5-16 in the last 21 meetings. The Braves are also just 1-7 in their last eight, on the road vs. a left-handed starter. The Red Sox are dealing some aces as a favorite from -110 to -150 where they are 44-15 in their last 59. Take Boston.