Atlanta at Boston

Boston has lost six of 10 while the injuries have piled up and the Red Sox are just 13-17 at home this season. They come off an 8-4 loss to Detroit on Sunday and the bullpen only has 12 saves and a 3.57 ERA. Max Fried goes for Atlanta tonight with a 2.97 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. He has allowed only four earned runs his past four starts in 28 1/3 innings pitched and it includes a complete game victory over the Chicago Cubs before throwing eight shutout innings against Washington last Tuesday. The Braves are 6-1 when Fried is a favorite of -151 to -200. Boston is 0-6 in Kutter Crawford's past six home starts against teams with winning records and he has given up 11 runs in 10 1.3 innings his past two starts. The Red Sox are 5-0-1 UNDER following an off day and Fried is 5-0 UNDER if he had a quality start his last outing. Atlanta is 34-21 UNDER and Boston is 32-24 UNDER in 2024. Take the Braves as a Max Play, and bet this game to stay UNDER the total.