Atlanta at Arizona

The Arizona Diamondbacks opened the season at 5-18, and while their overall record is poor, they have picked up the pieces from the brutal start to be a respectful 21-19 in their last 40 games, so they certainly are an under the radar team showing value here. The Braves have been quite the opposite since opening the season at 19-7. They have since been an ugly 15-21 over their last 36 games. So for the last six weeks, it is the Diamondbacks that have been the better team. The Braves have struggled on the road vs. poor teams as they are an unfocused 1-7 in their last eight vs. a team below .500. Ervin Santana has struggled over his last four starts where opponents have a .337 batting average against him. Make the play on Arizona.