This pick was released to clients on May 28, 2024 at 12:09PM ET.
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Arizona at Texas

May 28, 2024
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Texas is a small park, great for hitters, so you need pitching to contend. Arizona has a losing road record and poor pitching, ranked 22nd in team ERA (4.35). The bullpen isn't reliable, either, at 21st in ERA (4.23) and 23rd in WHIP. Brandon Pfaadt (4.05 ERA) has a 4.34 ERA on the road with the Diamondbacks 3-6 in his last nine starts. Arizona is 26-37 in interleague action and 4-19 on the road after allowing four runs or less in three consecutive contests. Texas comes home from a six-game road trip after a 6-2 victory at Minnesota. Dane Dunning is holding batters to a .203 average, including .183 at home. In 16+ innings at home this season, he's fanned 24 with only six walks. Texas is 49-35 against NL starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.150 or better. Play Texas. 

1 unit on Texas +115 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.15)
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