Arizona at St. Louis

The D-Backs own a winning road record, a winning record vs. lefties and their offense is clicking (scored 6+ in four of last six games). The Cardinals average only 4.2 runs per game at home and they seem to struggle during the day (in day games they are getting only 3.8 per game on offense). Jamie Garcia has been lights-out which is why the Cards are such heavy favorites here. But, Zach Duke is more than capable, especially against this weak St. Louis offense. Arizona is 25-18 this season vs. winning teams. St. Louis is just 4-9 as a big home favorite (-175 to -200) this season. Over the past two seasons, Garcia is an awful 1-6 when he was supposed to be a lock (when line was -175 or higher)! I like Arizona's chances here, especially at this line.