This is a huge mismatch going by the standings. The San Francisco Giants have 102 wins, and the Arizona Diamondbacks have 106 losses. It certainly shouts mismatch. These games are infrequent, but we can learn something from history. When you get past game 150, and a team with 95 wins or more is facing a team that has lost 100 or more games, the results are rather eye-opening. The 100 or more loss team has an ROI of 19% in these apparent mismatches. I guess the lesson here is to expect the unexpected. The 95+ win team when at home, is in trouble as their 100+ loss opponent has a ridiculous +138.6% ROI in these games. Make the play on Arizona.
This pick was released to clients on September 28, 2023 at 11:56AM ET.
MLB
Arizona at San Francisco
September 28, 2021
9:45 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Arizona +235 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 5.03)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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