This pick was released to clients on September 28, 2023 at 11:56AM ET.
img MLB

Arizona at San Francisco

September 28, 2021
img9:45 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This is a huge mismatch going by the standings. The San Francisco Giants have 102 wins, and the Arizona Diamondbacks have 106 losses. It certainly shouts mismatch. These games are infrequent, but we can learn something from history. When you get past game 150, and a team with 95 wins or more is facing a team that has lost 100 or more games, the results are rather eye-opening. The 100 or more loss team has an ROI of 19% in these apparent mismatches. I guess the lesson here is to expect the unexpected. The 95+ win team when at home, is in trouble as their 100+ loss opponent has a ridiculous +138.6% ROI in these games. Make the play on Arizona.

1.5 units on Arizona +235 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 5.03)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
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Arizona Diamondbacks
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San Francisco Giants img
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consensus consensus
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