Arizona at San Diego

Back the Padres at home. San Diego has lefty Eric Stultz going and the Diamondbacks are 2-7 in their last nine games against a southpaw, and 1-4 in Trevor Cahill's last five starts. Stultz has a 2.45 ERA and steps into the rotation for Jeff Suppan, which is an upgrade. San Diego struggles badly on the road, but they are not bad at home at close to .500 and the Padres are 5-1 in their last six games as a home underdog. Play the Padres! Petco Park in San Diego is huge - great for pitchers but murder for batters. That's one reason why last-place San Diego has one of the worst offenses in baseball again. They are No. 28 in runs scored and batting average (.224) and No. 27 in on-base percentage. The UNDER is 13-6 in the Padres’ last 19 games as a home underdog. They are also 3-1-1 UNDER the total in their last five against a right-handed starter. They face a good righty here in Arizona's Trevor Cahill (3.96 ERA), a good pickup from Oakland who has allowed fewer hits than innings pitched as well as 26 walks in 61 innings. He has a 1.50 ERA against San Diego this season. The UNDER is 5-1 in Cahill's last six road starts and 20-7 UNDER the total in the Diamondbacks’ last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. They face San Diego's Eric Stults (2.92), who has allowed 9 walks and 21 hits in 24+ innings. When these teams meet the UNDER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings, including 7-1 UNDER the total in the last eight meetings in San Diego. Play the Padres and take the UNDER.