Arizona at San Diego

This line is because of Jake Peavy. It is overly inflated and hard to resist. Anytime we can get a red-hot team against a cold team with this kind of odds we are jumping in. The D-backs have won the first two in this series and have now gone 10-1 in their last 11. Yusmeiro Petit has kept Arizona in every game he has pitched and his 3.44 ERA is certainly worthy of a line of this magnitude. The padres are just 3-9 in their last 12 games. They have been shutout twice, and held to one run twice. It is a team that has scored three runs or less on 51 occasions this season, or almost half their games. Peavy was unhittable early on, and the Padres were 12-3 over his first 15 starts. They have been just 2-4 over his last six starts, and his ERA has climbed to 3.44 over his last seven, equal to what Petit has done. This line made sense in April, May and into June, but with the D-Backs red hot and the Padres struggling and Peavy settling down to be good, not great it is an opportunity to take some value into this game.