Arizona at San Diego

The hottest team in baseball right now is Arizona. The D-Backs have rattled off 9 of 10, including the opener in this series. David Wells gets the nod for the Padres and he may be closing in on the end. One of the sure signs he is losing something is his control. Wells has been among the most accurate pitchers in baseball, as his walk total did not exceed 21 for 4 consecutive seasons. This year in just over 100 innings that total is already 32. Pitching in the hitting zone is getting him in trouble. Last year he allowed 11 HR's and this season 16 already. As the season wears on, he is wearing down. Six of those homers have been served up in his last seven innings, along with 6 BB's in his last seven innings. That has all led to a 17.18 ERA in his last two starts. The D-Backs have been among the best teams all season vs. LHP, posting an 18-12 record, and +8 units of profit for those backing them. That is 4th best in MLB. The Padres are not only playing poorly of late, having won just three of their last 11, they have been playing poorly for quite some time. The Pads are just 9-15 in their last 24 and 21-26 in their last 47. Got a very live dog here.