Arizona at Minnesota

Arizona has scored nine total runs on this road trip over four games, part of a 10-2 run UNDER the total. They're 28-18 UNDER against winning teams, plus 18-8 UNDER in interleague action. Starter Merrill Kelly (3.23 ERA) has had a fine campaign holding batters to a .214 average and sports a 2.74 ERA on the road. His teams are 32-19 UNDER the total when he starts, including 24-12 UNDER in night games. He faces a Minnesota offense that is 18th in runs scored, 21st in on-base percentage, and 15th in slugging. Their strength is a Top 10 pitching staff and defense. Bailey Ober (3.19 ERA) takes the mound with the Twins on a 19-9 UNDER the total run when he starts. Minnesota is also 19-7 UNDER at home against NL teams with an on-base percentage of .325 or less. Take Arizona/Minnesota UNDER the total.