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Arizona at Milwaukee

October 2, 2011
img5:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Milwaukee has a powerful offense in a hitter friendly park and a terrific home field advantage: The Brewers are 44-10 in their last 54 games as a favorite! And they've been winning at home with easy, winning six of their last seven home games by 3, 4, 2, 4, 2, and 3 runs. Arizona is in town desperate for a win, but for all their overachieving this season they have not been a great road team against good competition. The Diamondbacks are 15-39 in their last 54 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, and 13-40 in their last 53 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200. 24-year old Dan Hudson tries to hold back this outstanding Milwaukee offense, one that is 11th in runs and 5th in slugging. Hudson has a 7-6 record on the road with a 3.86 ERA (a 3.17 ERA at home). And Hudson has an 11.25 ERA against the Brewers this season, easily the worst of any team he faced all year. Giving extra rest to the kid hasn't been a plus, either, as the Diamondbacks are 1-5 in Hudson's last 6 starts with 5 days of rest. Arizona has to face another ace in Zack Greinke, and he will get the nod for the second game based on his performance in his home park this season: an 11-0 record, 3.13 ERA, and 119:22 strikeout to walk ratio in 95 innings. In fact, the Brewers are 15-0 in Greinke's last 15 starts as a home favorite! Play the Brewers on the run line in Game 2.

3 units on Milwaukee -1.5 runs +135 (runline) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
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Arizona Diamondbacks
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consensus consensus
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