Arizona at Los Angeles

Arizona's much-improved pitching keeps them in a lot of games as it is ranked 12th in team ERA (3.58). Merrill Kelly has been outstanding (1.71 ERA), including a 0.69 ERA on the road where the Diamondbacks have won both of his starts. Arizona is 14-6 versus teams that have a bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities. Los Angeles squeezed out a 5-4 win over Arizona last night as a two-dollar favorite, and the team is 14-20 against a starting pitcher who allows 0.5 homers or less, plus the Dodgers are 44-45 against an NL starter with an ERA of 2.70 or better. Back the visitors to win the game or lose by one run again. Play Arizona on the runline.