Arizona at Baltimore

Baltimore's shortage of arms (#20 in team ERA) is hurting them, going 3-6 on its 11-game homestand. That included a four-game sweep by Boston in a series the Orioles badly needed, giving up five runs in every game. The offense hasn't been clicking, either, scoring 15 runs the last seven games. Baltimore 1B Chris Davis is just 2-for-20 in his last five games. The Orioles are forced to go with struggling Wade Miley (8-13, 5.65 ERA), with opponents hitting .290 off him. He has a 3-7 record at home with a 5.53 ERA. He faces a talented Arizona offense that is #11 in baseball in runs scored, eighth in slugging. Diamondbacks lefty Robbie Ray has struck out 27 batters over his last three games and 210 in 30 starts this season. For the season he has a 3.98 road ERA where he has fanned 113 in 83+ innings and only 33 walks allowed. Arizona has a winning record the last 11 games, cashing as dogs of +124, +190 and +115. I like Arizona.