This is purely the Randy Johnson effect at work here. The D-backs were hot out of the gate, but have gone just 10-12 in their last 22 and have won just once in their last seven on the road. Johnson is giving up more hits than innings pitched and the plus stuff is gone. The Braves are 14-7 in their last 21 and Jorge Campillo was added to the rotation after dominating in the pen. He did not disappoint, tossing six innings of goose-eggs at the Mets, lowering his ERA to 0.99 on the season. This game looks like it should be in the -130 to -140 range, so we'll grab the value and back the Braves.
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