Colorado Rockies vs Minnesota Twins

Ezequiel Tovar hit a three-run homer to help give Colorado a 4-0 lead and the Rockies held on for a 5-4 victory over the Twins, who have lost six of eight games. Pablo Lopez is 5-6 and Minneosta has lost four of his past five starts and the Twins are 1-6 his past seven starts against a team that scored at least five runs its previous game. The Twins have lost four straight of Lopez's starts following a loss. Colorado has won five of six as an underdog of +151 to +200. Austin Gomber has made 12 starts for Colorado and he owns a 3.38 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Gomber has allowed only nine earned runs his past 34 2/3 innings. The Twins have gone UNDER three of five games, including being shut out twice and they are 36-29 UNDER on the season. Take the Rockies and the UNDER.

You need pitching to contend away from home and Colorado doesn't have it, last in the majors in ERA (5.33) and in the pen (5.24 ERA). They have the worst road record in the NL at 10-25. Dakota Hudson (5.25 ERA) gets the start walking 33 batters in 61+ innings. The offense is just 21st in runs scored, 19th in on-base percentage, 18th in steals, and 17th in slugging. The Rockies are 11-45 on the road after a loss by 4 or more runs, plus 25-72 after playing two or more straight road games. Minnesota's offense is 12th in slugging, while the defense is second in fielding percentage and the relief pitching is 11th in ERA (3.59). Chris Paddack has a 3.26 ERA at home and the Twins are 19-6 versus losing teams, plus 17-3 after dropping six or seven of their last eight. Play Minnesota as a Max Play. 

Minnesota is outscoring opponents by +120 runs for the season while on an 11-4 run. You need pitching to content on the road and the Twins have it, sixth in the majors in ERA (3.88). Bailey Ober (3.53 ERA) gets the ball with the Twins 10-4 in his last 14 starts. Last place Colorado is getting outscored by 237 runs, the worst in the NL and the second-worst in all of baseball. The Rockies have the worst pitching in MLB (5.70 ERA) including in the bullpen (5.47 ERA). Journeymen starter Chase Anderson (5.42 ERA) takes the mound and the Rockies are just 7-28 after playing six or more consecutive home contests. Play Minnesota.