Top pick: #5 (AKA LILY'S LAD) (9-5) - Speedy sort ships in shape from New Mexico where he went 4-2-1-0 in a series of starts at Alburquerque. Eighteen time winner is dropping in class and can make his Turf Paradise debut a winning one.
2nd pick: #1 (Sax) (5-1) - From a high-percentage barn (Dru Hall) this veteran gelding has visited the winner's circle 14 times and has a solid year going out of town 10-3-3-3. He's won here in the past, has the rail, and should be involved every step.
3rd pick: #3 (U.R. Beat) (9-2) - Stalker makes his local debut and has been freshened up for the past seven weeks. Six-year-old is another having a fine year 9-3-3-0 and fits at the trip and tag. Stretch threat.
4th pick: #2 (Mr. Sierra) (6-1) - He ships in from No. California where he ran second at Fresno on Oct. 10. Working well locally, he's making his Arizona debut this afternoon. Six-year-old needs to step it up for anything more than a minor award.