img HORSE

TAMPA BAY DOWNS Race #3

April 1, 2020
img1:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Bet this race at Diamond SportsTop pick: #3 (MOZANO) (3-1) - He ships in from Gulfstream where he finished 3rd and 4th in a pair of dirt sprints for a $12,500 tag. The gelding ran twice locally early in the meet with both of those attempts coming against much tougher. I give this 3yo by 'Verrazano' a slight edge.

2nd pick: #5 (Bumpa) (6-1) - Speedy sort takes a big drop while switching back to dirt and shortening up in distance. Price play should be involved today from gate-to-wire.

3rd pick: #10 (Esor) (6-1) - Lightly raced colt chased the pace and held to finish 2nd of six, beaten by almost five lengths here at this tag going 5.5 furlongs March 18. Only his second start, he's back on a quick turnaround, and has blinkers on.

4th pick: #6 (Three Olivez) (5-1) - Oklahoma-bred shortens back up in distance after finishing 2nd twice at this level going two-turns. Veteran Bob Raymond has him headed in the right direction, and blinkers are added for this attempt.

5th pick: #8 (Beyond the Stars) (8-1) - Colt was never involved when badly beaten debuting here for a $32K tag going a mile on the grass March 4. Trainer Tony Granitz has won with four of 13 (38%) second-time starters in 2019-20, and he scores at a solid 25% (eight of 32) on the cutting back in distance.

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