Top pick: #3 (DAWLY) - The probable heavy favorite races first time for Rudy Rodriguez (34%) and comes off a career best at Belmont when winning for 450K on July 14. Speed/stalker moves up in price but draws a weak field for the tag and he can win this with a tracking trip.
2nd pick: #1 (Derivative) - He had a very busy first half of the year (8-3-1-2) and trainer Wayne Lukas runs him today off a two month breather. Has the rail, lots of early speed, and two of his three wins have come on "wet" surfaces. His speed makes him dangerous.