Top pick: #7 (JEWELISA) (7-2) - She's moving back with 'conditioned' foes after a pair of solid efforts facing tougher at Belmont. Filly rallied to win going a mile on the Belmont grass for a $40K tag May 21, then ran 4th for a $50K claiming price July 5. 3yo gets a slight edge.
2nd pick: #8 (Jenny's Creek) (9-2) - Veteran drops back down after finishing 4th last out at Belmont facing state-bred allowance foes. She's won here in the past and stalker should be competitive with Castellano staying aboard.
3rd pick: #6 (Annie Walker) (15-1) - Longshot moves back to the grass and drops back down a bit in class. 4yo has some early speed and comes off a good effort on the Belmont dirt July 17. Can impact at a big price.
4th pick: #5 (William'sluckygray) (15-1) - Speedy veteran has shown a lot of improvement since coming off a seven-week freshening June 20. She was a winner at this tag going 8.5-furlongs at Belmont July 11. It was a career best and she stays at the same tag for her first try at this 3l condition.
5th pick: #10 (Race and Shine) (6-1) - Stretch runner enters in shape and was beaten less than a length at this level and distance June 27 at Belmont. Can factor, but 4yo has to avoid a wide trip from this tough outside post.