img HORSE

SARATOGA Race #11

August 17, 2014
img6:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Top pick: #2 (JIMMY FILLPOT) (7-2) - He's been freshened up since June 21 when he chased a fast pace and held to finish third at this level going a mile at Belmont. He's working steadily, is the speed nearest the rail, and will be tough in this spot.

2nd pick: #3 (Breakeven Analysis) (4-1) - On the sidelines since last November, he was competitive in all three starts in 2013, and is training nicely for his return. Trainer Chad Brown is picking up some momentum, and he wins at a 23% rate off of long layoffs. Leading rider Castellano is aboard, and this 3yo is a win threat if ready.

3rd pick: #9 (Himes) (2-1) - No speed type has been freshened up for two months, and this strong finisher has gone 6-0-2-2 so far on the grass. In the Pletcher barn and a win candidate, but no "lock" at a short price.

4th pick: #10 (Day Six) (10-1) - Lightly raced gelding has some speed and was improved at Belmont on July 6. Trainer Barclay Tagg has worked him five times locally since then, and this 3yo can factor at a square price.

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