Bet this race at Diamond SportsTop pick: #1 (TONALIST'S SHAPE) (2-1) - Multiple stakes winner has won six of seven overall and has shown that she can be successful from both on and off the pace. She has a ground-saving post, enters off a bullet three-furlong work here in 00:34.20, and has blinkers on. This is her first start outside of Florida, and she's trying this nine-furlong distance for the first time. You may want to reverse your wages with her for a few dollars with those two facts in mind.
2nd pick: #6 (Paris Lights) (5-2) - One of two entered by Bill Mott, and the pair race uncoupled. She's won two in a row at Churchill Downs going 8.5 furlongs, is clearly improving, has plenty of room for upside, and is a win candidate.
3rd pick: #4 (Velvet Crush) (8-1) - This $450,000 daughter of 'Tapit' ships from Churchill where she won going 8.5 furlongs facing weaker June 11. She clearly prefers longer distances, has room for upside, a stalking style, and may factor at a big price.