Bet this race at Diamond SportsTop pick: #8 (GARRAPATA BEACH) (5-1) - He tired after showing early speed in both starts facing state bred special weights. Home bred by 'Tribal Rule' is taking a big drop in class and is making back-to-back starts for the first time. He has a solid shot at a square price.
2nd pick: #4 (Run the Show) (4-1) - Unraced for almost two years, 4yo by 'Street Boss' returns as a NEW gelding, and is working fast off site. Trainer Jim Cassidy (4-for-16, 25%) off of long layoffs, and he has him dropping into a claimer for the first time.
3rd pick: #1 (Kronwall) (6-1) - Reddam home bred tired while racing wide when debuting Sept. 19th facing tougher at Los Alamitos. He's worked fast twice since, drops in class, and breaks from the rail. Trainer Doug O'Neill wins at a 20% rate second time out, and at a 21% clip on this particular drop.
4th pick: #5 (Captain Carchy) (3-1) - Stretch runner returns today off a seven-month layoff. When last in action he finished 2nd in three straight here at this tag going seven furlongs. Major threat if ready.