Top pick: #3 (Tapit's Conquest) (4-1) - Jockey Luis Saez road First Mission to a win in the 2023 Lexington Stakes, topping favorites Disarm (7-2) and Arabian Lion (7-2). Saez will be atop Tapit's Conquest for this race at the same distance of 1 1/16-miles. And in its last two races at this distance, Tapit's Conquest finished first and second.
2nd pick: #2 (Arabian Lion) (2-5) - Bob Baffert's Arabian Lion is the son of Triple Crown winner Justify. He's the favorite but hasn't won his last four races, finishing second twice, including the Lexington Stakes the last time out. And two of the three times he's ran at 1 1/16 miles, Arabian Lion finished fourth and fifth.
3rd pick: #5 (Denington) (5-1) - Two races ago, a longer track and tougher competition worked against Denington at the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby with a poor showing. But in the last five races at this distance, Denington has finished fourth twice, fifth once, along with one victory.