Bet this race at Diamond SportsTop pick: #11 (PRETTY SHEA D) (7-2) - One of four making their first starts, filly is working about average for trainer Jay Servis. He had a career year in 2017 at 12-of-391 (29%) and won with 12-of-44 (27%) debuting runners. $50K purchase meet a weak field and need not be anything special to factor against this group.
2nd pick: #10 (Total Treasure) (9-2) - She finished second at this level Dec. 30 to a heavily bet first-time starter, but tired Jan. 13 facing similar. Her outside post is a plus and this Florida bred can factor with her best.
3rd pick: #12 (Red Sails) (12-1) - Lightly-raced filly drops in price, is cutting back in distance, and is on conventional dirt for the first time. Longshot has shown some ability and is in the mix at large odds.
4th pick: #5 (Special Counsel) (15-1) - She tired badly when sent for the lead when debuting here at this tag Dec. 30. She had a tough rail post in a large field (12) and should run much better in this spot.
5th pick: #1 (Second Illusion) (12-1) - Another making her debut, she's working steadily, has the rail, and is from a capable barn (Oscar Gonzalez).