Bet this race at Diamond SportsTop pick: #9 (SOUPER COURAGE) (5-1) - Live Oak homebred drops down following a series of four good efforts facing tougher. 4yo by 'Giant's Causeway' has a stalking style and I think the class reduction gives him a slight edge.
2nd pick: #7 (Sir Hoski) (9-2) - 4yo by 'Kitten's Joy' broke his maiden at Tampa Bay Downs at this distance Nov. 3, and has finished third in his follow up pair at this level. Latest came here at this trip Jan. 20 when he rallied while extremely wide to miss by 2.5 lengths. Improving sort is dangerous.
3rd pick: #2 (Red Fog) (4-1) - Competitive in three straight, stalker runs fresh off a John Mazza claim and he moves him back up a bit. He has a ground saving post, veteran Edgar Prado takes the mount, and this Florida bred is in the mix.
4th pick: #12 (Crupi's Pizza Dom) (10-1) - Lightly raced and speedy, 4yo was last in action June 1 when he tired facing tougher at Churchill Downs. The gelding by grass champ 'Artie Schiller' was sharp in all four attempts prior to that and has been in steady training since early January. I would like him a bit more if he didn't draw such a tough post.