(# 3) ROUGH WATER - Tony Dutrow trained runner has been getting better with each start. Chased at this distance in most recent, and continued gamely all the way to the wire to finish second to a good-looking winner (Populist). Repeat of that effort puts her on the wire here.

(# 4) Philadelphia Moon - From the top barn of Mike Trombetta, she is improving with racing. Sharp tries in last pair, both at a distance over this track. Nice drill on Oct. 17, and she'll be a handful.

(# 1) Love Nonie - Draws a nice post and her most recent was her best yet, finishing right behind our second choice. Have always liked his sire (Souvenir Copy), and his sons and daughters improve with experience.

(# 5) Holy Grace - Daughter of "Holy Bull" ran well in debut to a pair of runners that were better. Stretches out for trainer Graham Motion and she should run much better with more real estate.