Top pick: #3 (BALROG) - Scott Lake trainee was away from the races a very long time (10 months) before returning on July 7. He's improved in his starts since coming back and he went wire-to-wire in his latest. Stays at the same price and a repeat of his last would get the job done.
2nd pick: #7 (JohannesburgAffair) - Returns from a short freshening for trainer Juan Vasquez who is good in that department (22%). This will be the lowest tag he has ever raced at. Win threat.
3rd pick: #4 (House of Boo) - Another who'll be returning from a freshening. Claimed by owner Michael Gill last spring, gelding raced three times at Suffolk against tougher before being sent in for a freshening. Rest, combined with the drop, may make him competitive.