Top pick: #1 (CERTAINLY CERTAIN) - Has the best last race by far and it came on this surface. Gelding stalked, bid, and was out-finished by a "nose" on July 21 at this price-tag and distance. The horse to beat.
2nd pick: #6 (Gibson Home Run) - Debuting gelding is in a good barn (Pete Miller) and has a big work from the gate here July 30. Meets a weak field for the price and looks well-prepared for his first start.
3rd pick: #3 (Elessar) - Colt raced evenly at Golden Gate when debuting facing special weights June 11 and will race today in a claimer and for a new trainer (Kathy Walsh 30% with new arrivals). He's working nicely and is a win threat.