Top pick: #6 (HOT LIGHTNING) (4-1) - Consistent sort has improved noticeably since being claimed by trainer Vann Belvoir for $40K May 8. He finished a solid third at this level going 6-furlongs June 20, then missed by a 'neck' at this mile distance here July 16. Gets a slight edge.
2nd pick: #2 (Brimstoned) (7-2) - Clearly the main speed, he enters off a visually impressive maiden win here July 25. He rated just off the early pace, bid to the front when asked, then drew away to almost a 6-length win in the 6.5-furlong contest. By far a career best, it earned this highest last out figure of any running. Stretches out and is a win candidate.
3rd pick: #1 (Derby Glass) (5-2) - The morning line favorite, one-run type checked in third last out and was only a 'neck' behind 'Hot Lightning.' Has the rail and the leading rider at this meet (Raf Bejarano) is aboard for the third straight time.
4th pick: #4 (Cinmars Dance) (8-1) - Away since early Oct, he returns as a NEW gelding and a steady work tab. Four-year-old has a new trainer (Rich Baltas) and will need to be at his best against rivals who all have a recency edge.