img HORSE

CHURCHILL DOWNS Race #7 (THE LOUISVILLE (G2))

May 1, 2009
img2:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Top pick: #4 (ONE CAROLINE) - Undefeated (five for five) daughter of "Unbridled's Song" faces her toughest test to date, taking on the undefeated "Zenyatta" (nine for nine). This filly has the better speed and this race is a bit light on pace. She also has a pair of wins on this surface, making her the field's lone multiple winner on this dirt. Can win this by slowing it down early. Wire-to-wire upset possibility.

2nd pick: #2 (Zenyatta) - Probable heavy favorite has spent her entire career on poly surfaces, except for one very big race, winning the "Apple Blossom" (G1) last spring at Oaklawn over the previous year's champ "Ginger Punch", so you know she'll handle today's surface switch. Stretch threat to run down "our hero."

3rd pick: #8 (Unbridled Belle) - Very talented, lightly-raced mare from the Todd Pletcher barn returns today off an early October layoff. Loves the distance (two for two), has good tactical speed, and is working well - legitimate threat.

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