img HORSE

CHURCHILL DOWNS Race #4

May 21, 2020
img2:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Bet this race at Diamond SportsTop pick: #9 (SUMMER REVOLUTION) (7-2) - This once classier type stretches out in distance after a three-length win while sprinting at Oaklawn at today's $8,000 tag on April 17. It was his second back following an eight-month layoff, and he runs off a claim by Bob Diodoro, a 31% winning angle (61 of 197 since Jan. 1 of 2019). The trainer went two-for-two here this past weekend, and I like this one's chances.

2nd pick: #6 (Junior Gilliam) (6-1) - Another who was classier in the past, he finished 2nd, three lengths behind 'Summer Revolution' sprinting at Oaklawn April 17. The 7yo is stringing starts together following a 13.5-month layoff, and he's a contender in this spot.

3rd pick: #8 (Ernie Banks) (8-1) - An uncoupled barn-mate of 'Summer Revolution,' he's dropping in class following a pair of poor efforts facing tougher. Speedy sort has a fine record at this distance (11-4-2-2), and the last time he raced at this $8K tag he was an easy winner on the all-weather surface at Golden gate Fields Sept. 20.

4th pick: #14 (All About Ashley) (15-1) - Old-timer drops to a new low after a pair of poor efforts at Oaklawn when facing tougher. The 8yo would have beaten this group back during the first part of 2019, but he's slipping and is showing the effects of being over-raced. However, he's still capable of getting a share at a square price.

TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free Horse picks and predictions.

Join 409,333 Subscribers!