img HORSE

CHURCHILL DOWNS Race #11 (THE KENTUCKY OAKS (G1))

May 4, 2012
img5:45 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Top pick: #2 (GRACE HALL) - If not for the talented "My Miss Aurelia" this daughter of "Empire Maker" would have been last season's 2-year-old filly champ. She's (4-4-2-0) overall and finished second on this surface last November to the above mentioned filly in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1). She was an easy winner at this trip in the Gulfstream Park Oaks(G2) March 31st and is the horse to beat.

2nd pick: #1 (On Fire Baby) - Dangerous rival, filly is 4-for-6 overall and a perfect 2-for-2 on this surface. Grey daughter of "Smoke Glacken" is training fast for her first since winning the (G3) Honey Bee Stakes at Oaklawn on March 10th. She has the rail, excellent early speed, and is a win candidate.

3rd pick: #3 (Summer Applause) - Daughter of "Malibu Moon" went (4-2-2-0) at the Fair Grounds this past winter and won the Rachel Alexandra S. (G3) there on Feb. 25. Beaten narrowly last out in the (G2) Fair Grouds Oaks and she's training fast for this.

4th pick: #9 (Believe You can) - Home-bred spent the winter at the Fair Grounds exchanging decesions with "Summer" and she comes north off a career best when she won the "oaks" there March 31st. Training very fast on this surface and must be left in the mix.

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