img HORSE

CHURCHILL DOWNS Race #1

November 13, 2009
img12:40 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Top pick: #1 (CHAPEL AFFAIR) - Filly by "Chapel Royal" takes a big drop this afternoon for a top outfit (Ken McPeek). Connections have been trying to find the level where she can pick-up her maiden win, and this looks like it. Stalker can win this with a clean break from the tricky rail post at this flat mile.

2nd pick: #8 (Pata Fresca) - One of two entered here by trainer Helen Pitts and they'll race as separate interests. She's finished on the board in all three of her outings including a pair at this eight-furlong trip. Pace here looks a bit quick for the claiming level and that helps this filly's style out.

3rd pick: #3 (Ask Don't Tell) - The second of the Pitt's trained fillies appears to be the main-speed. If allowed to clear off early she could prove very tough to catch, as speed has done well here at this distance early in the meet.

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