Top pick: #1a (NONNIE CONNIE) (9-5) - She's dropping down in class, switching from turf to dirt, and racing 3rd back from a 2 1/2 month layoff. Veteran meets a weak field and is the horse to beat.
2nd pick: #2 (D'Kennesaw Cat) (2-1) - She enters with two wins in a row and has a fine overall record on real dirt 10-2-3-3. Speed/stalker should be involved every step and is a win candidate.
3rd pick: #3 (Over My Head) (8-1) - One of two entered by trainer John Morrison and the pair race uncoupled. Filly is dropping slightly in class and shortening up in distance. May grab a share, but the top two picks are much more likely to win this.