Bet this race at Diamond SportsTop pick: #6 (THESIS) (8-5) - Grey gelding moves up in class after missing by a 'nose' in his last two starts facing weaker at this distance. 3yo runs first off a Jay Servis claim 21 of 64 (34%) in 2018-19 and this stalker has the best post at this 7-furlong trip. He'll be tough in this spot.
2nd pick: #5 (Family Biz) (6-1) - No-speed type drops down following a third place finish at this distance Oct. 10 at Belmont facing first-level allowance foes. Both career wins have been at Aqueduct and he's a threat as he races in a career soft spot.
3rd pick: #3 (Carthon) (6-1) - State bred has early speed and is cutting back in distance for this attempt. 5yo weakened in the final furlong going a mile here Nov. 8 and can factor with his best at a square price.