This pick was released to clients on March 05, 2025 at 2:38PM ET.
img GOLF

Matt Fitzpatrick vs. Aaron Rai

2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational

March 6, 2025
img8:10 AM Eastern
Premium Pick

Matt Fitzpatrick has finished 48th, 78th, and 49th in his last three tournaments. This course features a set of tough par-4s, plus 3 of the par-5s are over 550 yards. Fitzpatrick is 78th in Total Driving, 126th in Driving Distance, and 180th in Total Driving Efficiency. Picking up strokes is essential, but he ranks 120th in Total Strokes Gained, 117th in Tee-to-Green, 125th in Strokes Gained Approach the Green, 170th Around the Green, and 109th in Strokes Gained Putting. He's also 119th in Total Putting. Aaron Rai tuned up for this with an impressive showing at the Mexico Open in fourth place (18 under par). He's 41st in Total Strokes Gained, 34th in Strokes Gained Approach the Green, sixth in Driving Accuracy Percentage, and 30th in Greens in Regulation. Take Aaron Rai to win this head-to-head matchup. 

1.5 units on Aaron Rai -110 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
R1
R2
R3
R4
F
Matt Fitzpatrick
78
69
E
E
E
Aaron Rai img
74
72
67
71
-4
odds odds
 
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