This pick was released to clients on May 17, 2023 at 5:22PM ET.
img GOLF

Hideki Matsuyama vs. Sam Burns

2023 PGA Championship

May 21, 2023
img7:00 AM Eastern
Premium Pick

Sam Burns slipped in his last outing finishing 69th at the Wells Fargo. He has power, but is just 109th in Driving Accuracy Percentage. He's also 168th in Strokes Gained Approach the Green and 91st in Strokes Gained Around the Green. His iron play has been weak at 164th in Approaches from 200+ yards, including 154th from 200-225 yards and 153rd from 275+ yards. Hideki Matsuyama is 24th in the World Golf Rankings moving up after four straight strong outings. He was fifth at THE PLAYERS, 16th in the Texas Open, 15th at the Masters, and 23rd at the Byron Nelson. He's ranked 37th in Longest Drives. He's also 24th in Total Strokes Gained, including 51st in Strokes Gained Approach the Green and 13th in Strokes Gained Around the Green. And his iron play has been far better than Burns, including 73rd from 225-250 yards and 19th from 175-200 yards. Make it a Max Play on Hideki Matsuyama to win this head-to-head matchup.

2 units on Hideki Matsuyama -115 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.74)
Result:
WIN
Final
R1
R2
R3
R4
F
Hideki Matsuyama img
72
71
70
72
+5
Sam Burns
74
80
MC
MC
MC
odds odds
 
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