This pick was released to clients on July 14, 2021 at 4:14PM ET.
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Dustin Johnson vs. Brooks Koepka

2021 Open Championship

July 15, 2021
img3:03 AM Eastern
Premium Pick

Dustin Johnson has been over-par in four of his last nine appearances. Royal St. George's golf course in England has seen plenty of rain in July, so it will be a soft turf with windy conditions. This is a second shot course, making Driving Accuracy and Strokes Gained Approach-the-Green two key metrics. Johnson has excellent driving power, but he is ranked #133 in Driving Accuracy, #39 in Strokes Gained Approach-the-Green, and #57 in Greens-in-Regulation. In addition, the soft, slow greens will be challenging as Johnson is #92 in Total Putting. It helps to have experience at oceanside courses, and Brooks Koepka finished second in May at the PGA Championship, fourth at the U.S. Open last month, and seventh at the RBC Heritage last year at Harbour Town. All three are ocean courses. Koepeka is currently #12 in the FedEx Cup, ranked #15 in Driving Distance, #10 in Strokes Gained Approach-the-Green, sixth in Scoring Average (69.85), and third in Strokes Gained Off-the-Tee. Over his last nine tournaments, Koepka has finished first (Phoenix Open), second twice (World Golf Championships, PGA Championship), fourth (U.S. Open), and fifth (Travelers). Take Brooks Koepka to win this head-to-head matchup.

1 unit on Brooks Koepka -115 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
R1
R2
R3
R4
F
Dustin Johnson img
-2
-5
E
E
E
Brooks Koepka
-1
-4
2
-5
+1
odds odds
 
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