Golfers on the PGA tour have two things in common: they're all great putters and are terrific at the short game. It's amusing to hear tournament golfers moan, "I putted terrible today." When you examine their overall stats, even mediocre putters are extremely good. It's the long game that separates the best golfers from the middle of the pack. The long game doesn't mean just driving. It refers to the series of shots made from the tee to the green.
Why Use Golf Betting Picks
Assessing a golfer's performance to the posted betting odds encompasses a variety of factors. Identifying a golfer's strengths and weaknesses relative to this course is one. Others are recent performance, driving accuracy, course length and obstacles, and even weather conditions. After getting a firm grasp on how a golfer should perform, one has to calculate whether the oddsmakers have posted accurate or inaccurate betting numbers.
Betting Value in Golf Betting Picks
Casual bettors back their favorite player or the golfing stars. Professional bettors are only focused on cashing winning golf picks. Wagering value is deduced by projecting a golfer's expected performance against the odds. A golf tournament favorite at 4-to-1 is likely overvalued if he's never won on this course and has been playing below-average over the last month. In addition, a golfer who has a multitude of edges on their side can have excellent wagering value in head-to-head betting matchups with other golfers. Head-to-head matchups have a 50% chance of cashing, as it's one versus one. That golfer doesn't have to win the tournament but simply come out ahead in the head-to-head matchup.
Wunderdog Golf Betting Picks
It takes time and knowledge to break down a golfer's strengths and weaknesses. It takes more time, along with a deep understanding of wagering odds, to apply that information in a winning way at the betting window. I've been working at beating the numbers for over 20+ years with winning insight that I'll share with you. It's not about luck, but effort and expertise. I don't hope to win on golfing futures and matchups but expect to cash winning tickets.
Free Golf Betting Picks vs. Premium Picks
Free Golf Betting Picks Picks Pros:
- Improves your wagering insight with different handicapping approaches
- Professional betting insight
- Identifies the best value wagering value in futures, rounds, prop bets, or head-to-head matchups
Free Golf Betting Picks Cons:
- Reasons for the selection may be fragmentary or nonexistent
- Too many favorites
- Be wary of self-proclaimed pros that ignore records and only tout past winners
Premium Golf Betting Picks Pros:
- The best bets on the golf tournament card
- An expert is researching while you reap the benefits</li
- Key information that is difficult to find anywhere else
Premium Golf Betting Picks Cons:
- Excess stress with real money on the line
- Confusing for novice bettors
- Forced picks just with little wagering value
How To Win With Golf Betting Picks
Be selective and patient before choosing your best golf bets. Approach the wagering window with knowledge of each bet you're about to make. Sometimes the oddsmakers nail the correct odds on a golfer or the odds shift against you. Just move on. Money not lost is money you still have in your golf betting bankroll. The most successful handicappers make their own numbers based on detailed information, experience, and judgment. Remember that the oddsmakers are posting their numbers on what they think the lines should be along with what they believe the casual bettor is thinking. The expert handicapper is only focused on what the true odds should be, opening up the doors to choice wagering opportunities.
Golf Betting Picks Betting Strategy
Driving Power vs. Accuracy
When asked that, none other than legendary golfer Jack Nicklaus answered "Go for accuracy with the shorter club." The man had 18 tournament victories in 24 years along with 19 second-place finishes. With many par 5s and long par 4s, accuracy is essential for ball placement to keep the ball in the fairway and set up correctly on tricky dog legs. Power off the tee dazzles but accuracy is a more important statistical metric to look at when handicapping.
Weather Forecasts
All golf tournaments take place outdoors. When assessing how golfers might perform on different courses, it's essential to also pay attention to what the weather is going to be like for a four-day tournament. Tournaments are played in hot, dry, desert climates, in humid conditions, at high altitudes such as Mexico, along with cold and windy conditions in Scotland and England. At high altitudes, the ball flies further. Some golfers have a track record of playing well in wet or windy conditions while others struggle. When trying to determine where to place your betting money, putting on your weatherman cap while handicapping is a smart bet.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Golf futures are all long shots with so many participants in a crowded field. But oddsmakers also post head-to-head matchups on every tournament making it a 50-50 venture. Golfer A will be matched up against Golfer B at even-money or minus-125, for instance. Minus-125 means you would lay $125 on the favorite to win $100, or $100 on the matchup underdog to win +115. The winner is the golfer who comes out with the better score at the end of the tournament. You examine each golfer's chances and if one has significant advantages over the other, make a play. It's the closest you can find to moneyline wagering, such as one a basketball or baseball game, and is a staple among serious professional golf handicappers.
Golf Betting Picks Subscription
My golf releases are derived from an extensive database I've accumulated along with the handicapping knowledge acquired from over two decades of winning. These expert golf picks allow you to play alongside me, or simply to read, digest, and improve your handicapping knowledge. They also come with detailed reasoning on why this is the right selection, along with the correct money management investment strategy. You can sign up for my free golf betting picks through a subscription service, improving your game with a documented professional bettor.
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