Professional golfers don't participate in tournaments for fun. They've been honing their craft on the fairways for years and are in it to win it. The same thing applies to wagering. The average bettor is in it for fun, to simply have action as a golf tournament unfolds. An average bettor doesn't win money, either. You can only beat the betting odds consistently by putting the time in with an expert, in-depth knowledge of the mechanics of handicapping.
Why Use Expert Golf Picks
There are reasons behind the odds attached to each golfer and head-to-head matchups. Professional bettors understand those details and can line them up to help predict a golfer's performance. Casual bettors, on the other hand, have little insight and no interest in how golf metrics align or don't align with posted odds. The road to becoming a superior golfing handicapper is all about building the layers of golf betting expertise one informative brick at a time.
Betting Value in Expert Golf Picks
A favorite in a golf tournament should be around 4-to-1 odds. The average bettor thinks, "It makes sense that this golfer is one of the favorites as he's one of the top golfers in the world." Expert bettors look at the same odds but conclude, "There are multiple metrics that show that this golfer is not going to play as well on this course. The golfer is overvalued by oddsmakers, while three others might be undervalued." It takes a trained eye and a disciplined approach to identify the odds that accurately reflect upcoming golf action.
Wunderdog Expert Golf Picks
Every golf course is different. Golfers have strengths that give them an edge on some courses and weaknesses that get exposed on others. Winning while wagering is about identifying which golfers have the advantages on the course and against opposing golfers. I've been winning at golf and every other sport successfully for over two decades. I'm constantly in motion finding relevant, updated betting information and assessing how it best applies to each golf tournament. The golf picks I release to clients I'm also wagering on with multiple reasons behind them.
Free Expert Golf Picks vs. Premium Picks
Free Expert Golf Picks Pros:
- Nuances of different golf courses explained
- Pro picks help to identify betting value
- Gaining valuable insight without risking any money
Free Expert Golf Picks Cons:
- Selections with no explanations
- Overreliance on past performance
- No capper track records or winning percentages documented
Premium Expert Golf Picks Pros:
- The top golf matchups of the weekend tournament
- Detailed metrics that support the pick and make sense
- Picks should have ratings along with money management advise
Premium Expert Golf Picks Cons:
- Wagering far beyond your bankroll means
- Too many favorites
- Services that aren't documented or provide prop win/lost records
How To Win With Expert Golf Picks
Get nosey! That is, don't wager by feel. Instead, get inside the numbers weekly golf picks and identify which golfers have edges in their corners and which ones have things working against them. It can be via stats, injuries, wind conditions, course familiarity, recent play, or a host of other factors. There must be sound reasons every time you put real money down on a golf future or matchup, otherwise you might as well just hand the money to a bookie and set fire to your ticket.
Expert Golf Picks Betting Strategy
Recent Form
Consistency tells a lot about whether a golfer is at the top of their game. Examine how many Top 10 or Top 30 finishes a golfer has had throughout the current season. Even a golfer with far fewer high finishes - or none - can still be very good and worth wagering on. You might find they rarely fail to make the cut and finish, say, in the top 20 to top 50 often. A golfer's recent form is more important than their overall World Golf Ranking or the number of tournaments they've won.
Strokes Gained
An excellent golf betting metric to become familiar with is Strokes Gained. This measures a golfer's performance taking into account the distance to the hole, the shot length, the type of lie, and putting. This puts a ranking to the average number of strokes golfers pick up. There are offshoots of Strokes Gained, as well, such as Tee-to-Green (excluding putting) and Around-the-Green (strokes gained on shots within 30 yards of the edge of the green). The highest-ranked golfers in Strokes Gained are a nice combination of power off the tee, accuracy, and quality fairway play.
Injuries
Injuries are the great downward equalizer. They're capable of making a great golfer average or force a normally reliable golfer to not even make the cut. Golf tournament injuries aren't often debilitating, either. A golfer with a serious injury or virus that saps energy won't even participate. But many golfers are dealing with nagging minor ailments that can affect play. They're also not always easy to find, which requires golf handicappers to do plenty of digging to identify them. Newspaper accounts will hint at them, such as "Last week this golfer was dealing with a hamstring problem that contributed to his poor performance on the final 9 holes." Since golf tournaments are a physically grinding game - spending four days walking four hours for 18 holes while swinging different sizes of clubs - an astute handicapper makes a note of revealing injury tidbits.
Expert Golf Picks Subscription
My golf releases have been analyzed thoroughly over the course of a week to find the best wagering values on the betting board. My best golf picks come with a detailed analysis of the reasons why, as well. They're also graded releases, advising the proper money management, a betting component that is essential to winning long-term that novices and even professional services ignore. I have a documented track record that stretches over two decades of beating the books in golf and many other sports. Signing up for my picks on a subscription service gives you the valuable edge to go from watching golf to watching your profit margin increase.
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