Wyoming at Hawaii

These teams have a wide range of how their games are played. Wyoming is great against a poor offense, and Hawaii is awful against a good defense. Wyoming has held poor offenses in four games to an average of 14 points or fewer. Hawaii against a team that can defend has scored 17 points or fewer in five games. It looks fairly clear that this has a 14-point or so offensive out-put for Hawaii at best. Hawaii is allowing opponents to generate 435 yards per game leading to 34.5 ppg on the season. I think this looks more like a 20-point game than an 11 or 12-point game. Hawaii has already allowed 45 points or more to four teams, including 63 vs Vanderbilt. I don't think this game is very competitive. Make the ply on Wyoming. Also back the UNDER. Wyoming's defense has been improving as the season progresses. They have allowed just 18.8 points per game to conference foes. Sure, they gave up 38 on the road to BYU and Illinois, but the Cowboys were severely overmatched in those games. In their three games as chalk, Wyoming has allowed 10, 14 and 14. When getting points this season, the Rainbow Warriors have scored 10, 17, 10, 26, 14, 31 and 13. They are unlikely to put up much offense in this game. Wyoming is 29-14 to the UNDER in their last 43 games after allowing 14 or fewer points last game. They are also 14-4 UNDER in their last 18 games following back-to-back games allowing 17 or fewer points. Hawaii is 14-5 UNDER in their last 19 conference games and 10-1 UNDER followign a game in which they committed fewer than two turnovers. Back Wyoming ATS and make it a Max Play on this game to stay the UNDER.