Western Michigan at Northern Illinois

The Broncos are a one-dimensional team that relies on the pass to move the football, but many times when the field gets short they struggle to find the endzone without a running game. Despite their 271 yards passing per game, the Broncos have averaged just 24 points per game. They ran for 159 yards against a non-BCS team and, even with that, they average under 100 yards per game on the ground. The Broncos’ defense has been bad stopping the run or pass, allowing almost 400 yards per game. The Huskies should take advantage of the Broncos inability to stop the run. Western Michigan is yielding 157 yards per game on the ground, while the Huskies are churning out 188 per game of their own with Me'co Brown averaging six yards a pop. The Huskies have allowed seven rushing TDs this season, but that isn't what Western Michigan does well. The Broncos have yet to find the win column on the road at 0-2 and have run their road ineptness to 0-5 ATS in their last five. The Huskies have come up big at 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a 3.5-10 point favorite. The Broncos are also just 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings with the Huskies, and are 0-6 ATS on the road against Northern Illinois. I'm going with Northern Illinois to continue their home dominance in this one.