Western Michigan at Northern Illinois

Northern Illinois is 11-0 and have not lost a game over the last two years outside of their Bowl game last season vs. Florida State. The Huskies are in position to make it two straight BCS Bowl appearances but must stay ahead of Fresno State to do so, as the Bulldogs are also unbeaten and on their tail. NIU certainly has a good situation based on past teams in this spot, as unbeaten teams of 10 wins or more that play as heavy chalk as a home favorite of more than -23 have covered 65.2% of the time since 1990! Western Michigan has a lone win this season by a single point over UMass, and they come here a very unthreatening 1-10. The Huskies need to keep the good impression on to maintain their standing as a BCS Bowl candidate, so there will be no letting up in this one. The Broncos are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine conference games, and have been even worse when playing in Northern Illinois, as they have taken the doughnut their last eight trips at 0-8 ATS. Lay the points and play on Northern Illinois.