This pick was released to clients on November 18, 2015 at 10:03AM ET.
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Western Michigan at Northern Illinois

November 18, 2015
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Western Michigan comes off a home loss to Bowling Green, giving up 41 points, and now heads out on the road to a fired up Northern Illinois squad. Western Michigan is a .500 road team, and 8-3 UNDER the total against a winning team. They do play good defense and the Broncos are 5-2-1 UNDER the total after a double-digit loss at home. Northern Illinois is on the verge of winning its sixth consecutive MAC West title, on a 5-0 SU/4-0-1 ATS run. This is their time of the season with the Huskies 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games in November. Northern Illinois enters this matchup riding a five-game winning streak, which included a 32-27 victory at Toledo as a +7 dog on November 3. Northern Illinois is on a 7-1-1 ATS run, and RB Joel Bouagnon leads the conference with 110.6 rushing yards per game. The Huskies also rank #1 in the MAC in pass efficiency defense, on a 7-1 run UNDER the total in November. The Huskies have intercepted 17 passes, led by safety Marlon Moore and cornerbacks Shawun Lurry and Paris Logan. This unit has allowed only seven passes of 30 yards or more in conference games this season. Western Michigan has not done well against them at 3-14-1 ATS, including 1-8 ATS in their last nine meetings in Northern Illinois. In addition, the UNDER is 7-3 when these rivals clash, and 5-1 UNDER on this field. Play Northern Illinois and the UNDER.

1 unit on Northern Illinois -2.5 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 60 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Western Michigan Broncos
3
7
9
0
19
Northern Illinois Huskies img
7
7
0
13
27
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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