This pick was released to clients on October 05, 2023 at 6:43AM ET.
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Western Michigan at Mississippi State

October 7, 2023
img12:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Western Michigan has a losing record as it heads to face the SEC. Three quarterbacks have combined for 5 TDs and 3 picks as they've turned to freshman QB Treyson Bourguet. And the defense has been terrible ranked 105th in yards allowed (436 per game) and 127th in points surrendered (40.5 per game). Western Michigan lost badly when stepping up last season against Michigan State (35-13) and Pittsburgh (34-13), and has lost badly this year to Syracuse (48-7) and at Iowa (41-10). Mississippi State has lost three in a row to SEC opponents, including to No. 14 LSU and No. 12 Alabama. Getting to face a MAC team can help get their confidence back. And college football teams like Western Michigan that are being outscored by 7+ points per game are 24-56 ATS after scoring 31+ points in back-to-back contests. Play Mississippi State. 

1 unit on Mississippi State -20.5 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Western Michigan Broncos
0
7
14
7
28
Mississippi State Bulldogs img
10
7
14
10
41
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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