Western Michigan at Bowling Green

Bowling Green went UNDER by 12.5 points while defeating Central Michigan last week and the Falcons are 4-1 UNDER their past five games while allowing only 16.4 points per game. Five of the past six meetings between these teams, including the past three in a row, have stayed UNDER. This is a high posted total due to Western Michigan's high scores, but the Broncos will be facing one of the MAC's better defenses and the Falcons have allowed just 21 points per game this season. They are #13 in the nation in pass defense. The UNDER is 6-0 in Western Michigan's past six games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0 points. Take the UNDER.