This pick was released to clients on November 01, 2022 at 1:06PM ET.
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Western Michigan at Bowling Green

November 2, 2022
img7:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Western Michigan is 2-2 in the MAC and has lost two of three. The defense is No. 65 in the nation in total yards allowed and No. 65 in yards per play allowed (5.73), while the offense is the third-worst in the MAC in scoring (20.8 ppg) and the second-worst in total yards. Their three quarterbacks have combined for 8 TDs, 11 INTs as freshman QB Treyson Bourguet (48.5 completion percentage) is the current starter. And they get no help from a running game that averages just 3.3 yards per rush. Western Michigan is on a 4-10-1 spread run in MAC play, 10-22 ATS after a victory, plus 8-21-1 ATS following a spread cover. Bowling Green is 3-1 in the MAC and has no such signal caller concerns with senior QB Matt McDonald (16 TDs, 3 INTs) having a fine campaign. They've won two straight as underdogs each time over Miami of Ohio (17-13) and at Central Michigan (34-18). Bowling Green is 23-10 ATS after allowing 125 or fewer rushing yards in two consecutive games, so back home field. Play Bowling Green.

1 unit on Bowling Green -4.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Western Michigan Broncos
0
0
6
3
9
Bowling Green Falcons img
0
6
7
0
13
consensus consensus
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